Tag:penn state
Posted on: December 10, 2008 12:46 pm

Blogpoll Week 15: Little Movement

Rank Team PPB Delta
1 Florida (31) 24.3 1
2 Oklahoma (19) 23.9 1
3 Texas (7) 23.3 1
4 Alabama 21.3 3
5 Southern Cal 21.1 --
6 Penn State 19.6 --
7 Texas Tech 18.8 --
8 Utah 18.7 --
9 Ohio State 16.6 1
10 Boise State 16.4 1
11 Cincinnati 13.3 1
12 TCU 12.9 1
13 Oklahoma State 12.7 --
14 Georgia Tech 12.1 1
15 Oregon 10.1 1
16 Georgia 8.9 2
17 Michigan State 7.9 3
18 Mississippi 5.8 4
19 Virginia Tech 5.7 7
20 Pittsburgh 5.7 3
21 Brigham Young 5.6 --
22 Northwestern 4.0 2
23 Missouri 3.9 4
24 Boston College 2.8 7
25 Oregon State 2.7 --

Also Receiving Votes: Iowa(2.3), Ball State(2.1), Florida State(0.8), North Carolina(0.4), California(0.4), Kansas(0.2), Tulsa(0.2), Nebraska(0.1), Rice(0.1), Western Michigan(0.1), Buffalo(0.1), East Carolina(0.0), West Virginia(0.0), Rutgers(0.0),

Total Ballots: 57

Votes by blog here, votes by team here.

The BlogPoll sides with the AP on the Florida-or-Oklahoma question (the coaches poll went with OU) and has about the same number of disgruntled Texas folk complaining about head-to-head and whatnot. Elsewhere it's quiet, with championship game losers plummeting, Virginia Tech surging because someone has to be #19, and Ball State exiting entirely after losing the MAC championship to Buffalo.

Eh… not much going on, as you might expect.

Wack Ballot Watchdog

It's no secret yrs truly has a rampant disdain for the BCS. You can tell because I walk on two feet, watch college football, and am not currently employed by an organization with a vested interest in preserving the current system.

So, yeah, why not them? Black Shoe Diaries, take it away:

Am I a homer for ranking Penn State in the top two? Sure. But I'm not the only one.

If Mack Brown can rank his team #2 just because Texas beat a top ten team, why not us? We beat Ohio State, who is also a top ten team. And they beat Oklahoma on a neutral field while we beat Ohio State on the road.

Urban Meyer ranked his team #1 despite losing to an unranked team at home. We lost to an unranked team with the same record on the road. Why not us? (Incidently, Meyer ranked Penn State #9 on his ballot.)

USC lost to Oregon State. We destroyed Oregon State. Why not us?

Alabama's out of conference schedule was a joke. They don't have a win over a team currently ranked in the top 10. We beat three teams currently ranked in the top 25. Why not us?

Later, the author will say his poll is a statement: "Polls suck and I hate polls." Surely he means a system that allows polls to determine the participants in a two-team playoff sucks, and that polls—cough—are fine when no one takes them seriously enough to do such a stupid thing. Cough.

Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most and least disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation. Note that the standard deviation charts halt at #25 when looking for the lowest, otherwise teams that everyone agreed were terrible (say, Eastern Michigan) would all be at the top.

Most Disagreement

# Team StdDev
1 Brigham Young 4.6
2 Mississippi 3.6
3 Virginia Tech 3.6
4 Northwestern 3.4
5 Pittsburgh 3.3

The mid-majors have slipped entirely from this list except for #1 BYU, which does have a hammering of UCLA to its credit but came closer than any team save Washington State to losing to the Not Fighting Willinghams; confusion is understandable.

Ballot Math

First up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.

Mr. Bold
# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 Tomahawk Nation Florida State 4.67
2 CollegeGameBalls Virginia Tech 2.89
3 Gate 21 Tennessee 2.50
4 Eagle in Atlanta Boston College 2.49
5 Roll Bama Roll Alabama 2.44

We have been here before and remain here: Tomahawk Nation's refusal to even think about ranking mid-majors any higher than #22 (Utah) is giving that blog an average error way higher than anyone else's.

Mr. Numb Existence

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 California Golden Blogs California 0.83
2 SportsFrog Central Michigan 0.95
3 Michigan Sports Center Michigan 1.04
4 RazorBloggers Arkansas 1.14
5 Block C Clemson 1.19

Congratulations to California Golden Blogs. When not busy winning this award they're filling up my RSS reader with posts featuring 60 pictures at once—use the cut, guys!—and deploying Microsoft paint to illustrate just what can go wrong with safety angles. If you're a Cal fan it should be your #1 stop.

Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award and the Straight Bangin' Award, which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.

The Coulter/Kos Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 Tomahawk Nation Florida State 8.19
2 CollegeGameBalls Virginia Tech 5.26
3 Black Shoe Diaries Penn State 4.37
4 Block U Utah 3.33
5 BC Interruption Boston College 3.19

The CK Award had no victims in a light week of college football, but we have a CK-doomed bowl game between Florida State and Wisconsin on December 27th thanks to Tomahawk Nation's largesse.

Remember: CK Award winners are 3-10 against the spread so far.

The Straight Bangin' Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 Dawg Sports Georgia -3.91
2 Braves and Birds Georgia -1.91
3 ScalpEm.com Florida State -0.81
4 Tar Heel Mania North Carolina -0.44
5 Bears Necessity California -0.40

Straight Bangin’ award is again the province of Georgia blogs still stinging from that defeat against Georgia Tech. This is pretty common, actually: whenever someone meets humiliating, unexpected defeat, especially against a rival, that team shoots to the top of this category.

Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.

Unfortunately, a glitch in the ballot entry process this week caused a lot of people to overwrite last week's ballot with their new ballots and yielded some seriously messed up "swing" numbers. So there are no winners here this week. Deepest apologies to trophy-seeking bloggers.

Category: NCAAF
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